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Open Access

Accuracy of plain radiography in detecting fractures in older individuals after low-energy falls: current evidence

Vera Pedersen, Alina Lampart, Roland Bingisser, Christian Hans Nickel
DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2020-000560 Published 3 November 2020
Vera Pedersen
1Department for General, Trauma and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospital Munich, Munich, Germany
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Alina Lampart
2Department of Internal Medicine, Upper Valais Hospital Center Visp Location, Visp, Valais, Switzerland
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Roland Bingisser
3Emergency Department, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
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Christian Hans Nickel
3Emergency Department, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
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  • Figure 1
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    Figure 1

    Flow diagram of studies identified and included according to PRISMA. PICO, Population, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome; PRISMA, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.

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    Figure 2

    Proportion of studies rated as ‘low risk’. ‘high risk’ or ‘unclear risk’ for each of the QUADAS items for the 11 included studies for the diagnosis of fractures of the rib cage, thoracolumbar spine, and pelvic ring. QUADAS, Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies; XR, plain radiography.

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  • Table 1

    Research question according to PICO criteria

    PopulationGeriatric patient ≥65 years of age, ground level fall (GLF), fall from: standing position (including snow/ice), low furniture, being carried or supported by a second person, wheel chair, stairs (up to 1 m height), minor trauma/injury, low energy trauma. (Fulfilled if ≥80% of eligible patients met the criteria)
    InterventionCT, whole body CT, full body CT, computed axial tomography (CAT scan), computer aided tomography, positron emission tomography (PET), single-photon emission CT (SPECT), specifically of: torso, ribs, abdomen, spine, pelvis
    ComparisonNo measure or any but CT; in the same region as the intervention
    OutcomeFracture
    • PICO, Population, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome.

  • Table 2

    Measures of diagnostic accuracy (CI 95%) of XR for fracture detection in the respective body regions calculated for the included studies

    PublicationSensitivity
    (%)
    Specificity
    (%)
    PPV
    (%)
    NPV
    (%)
    LR+LR−Accuracy
    (%)
    Thorax and rib cage
     Lampart et al2022.7 (7.8–45.4)95.7 (85.2–99.5)71.4 (34.5–92.2)72.1 (67.2–76.6)5.2 (1.1–24.9)0.8 (0.6–1.0)72.1 (59.9–82.3)
     Singleton et al1941.7 (31.7–52.2)100 (98.4–100)100 (n/a)80.7 (77.9–83.2)n/a0.6 (0.5–0.7)83.0 (78.5–86.9)
    Thoracolumbar spine
     Karul et al2849.2 (36.6–61.9)54.8 (38.7–70.2)62.8 (52.7–71.8)41.1 (32.6–50.1)1.1 (0.7–1.7)0.9 (0.6–1.3)51.4 (41.5–61.2)
     Lampart et al20 (thoracic spine)40.0 (19.1–64.0)100 (75.3–100)100 (n/a)52.0 (43.1–60.8)n/a0.6 (0.4–0.9)63.6 (45.1–79.6)
     Lampart et al20 (lumbar spine)57.8 (42.2–72.3)100 (88.8–100)100 (n/a)62.0 (53.7–69.7)n/a0.4 (0.3–0.6)75.0 (63.7–84.2)
    Hip and pelvic ring
     Böhme et al21n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
     Dunker et al22n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
     Eggenberger et al29n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
     Heikal et al2310.5 (2.9–24.8)100 (87.2–100)100 (n/a)44.3 (41.6–47)n/a0.9 (0.8–1.0)47.7 (35.2–60.5)
     Lampart et al2031.4 (23.3–40.5)98.6 (92.6–99.9)97.4 (84.2–99.6)46.5 (43.4–49.5)22.9 (3.2–163.5)0.7 (0.6–0.8)56.7 (49.4–63.8)
     Natoli et al24n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
     Nüchtern et al270 (0–7.4)66.7 (34.9–90.1)014.3 (10.5–19.9)01.5 (1.0–2.2)13.3 (5.9–24.6)
     Schicho et al2552.2 (45.5–58.7)95.5 (92.5–97.5)89.6 (83.6–93.6)72.7 (69.9–75.4)11.6 (6.8–19.6)0.5 (0.4–0.6)76.9 (73.2–80.4)
     Thomas et al260 (0–3.4)100 (96.1–100)n/a46.7 (46.7–46.7)n/a1. (1.0–1.0)46.7 (39.7–53.9)
    • LR+, positive likelihood ratios; LR−, negative likelihood ratio; n/a, not applicable; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; XR, plain radiography.

Supplementary Materials

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  • Supplementary data

    [tsaco-2020-000560supp001.pdf]

  • Supplementary data

    [tsaco-2020-000560supp002.pdf]

  • Supplementary data

    [tsaco-2020-000560supp003.pdf]

  • Supplementary data

    [tsaco-2020-000560supp004.pdf]

Additional Files

  • Figures
  • Tables
  • Supplementary Materials
  • Supplementary Data

    This web only file has been produced by the BMJ Publishing Group from an electronic file supplied by the author(s) and has not been edited for content.

    • Data supplement 1
    • Data supplement 2
    • Data supplement 3
    • Data supplement 4
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Accuracy of plain radiography in detecting fractures in older individuals after low-energy falls: current evidence
Vera Pedersen, Alina Lampart, Roland Bingisser, Christian Hans Nickel
Trauma Surg Acute Care Open Nov 2020, 5 (1) e000560; DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2020-000560

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Accuracy of plain radiography in detecting fractures in older individuals after low-energy falls: current evidence
Vera Pedersen, Alina Lampart, Roland Bingisser, Christian Hans Nickel
Trauma Surg Acute Care Open Nov 2020, 5 (1) e000560; DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2020-000560
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Accuracy of plain radiography in detecting fractures in older individuals after low-energy falls: current evidence
Vera Pedersen, Alina Lampart, Roland Bingisser, Christian Hans Nickel
Trauma Surgery & Acute Care Open Nov 2020, 5 (1) e000560; DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2020-000560
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